Scouting Report
Joe Vitale holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 50.5% vs Vitale 58.0% (-10.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richards 66.7%
Defensive zone
Vitale 77.0%
Neutral zone
Vitale 62.6%
Result
Joe Vitale favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Richards
Vitale
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Richards
Vitale
Last 7: Richards 4-3 Vitale
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
3
0
Richards
Vitale
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Richards
Vitale
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Vitale
0
2
Richards
Vitale
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Vitale
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (655)
60.2% (251)
-9.2%
Power Play
49.1% (106)
100.0% (1)
-50.9%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (12)
100.0% (5)
-58.3%
On penalty kill, Vitale has a +58.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Vitale shoots right. Richards is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (322).
Richards shoots left. Vitale is 66.2% vs left-shot opponents (157).
Home / Away
Richards
Vitale
Home
51.9% (397)
62.8% (121)
Away
49.2% (376)
59.6% (136)
By Period
Richards
Vitale
P1
47.1%
51.8%
P2
54.2%
57.1%
P3
50.0%
73.3%
Final 5 min
48.2%
65.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
50.6%
Vitale
44.0%▼
48.0%
61.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2013 | 2 | 12:55 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 1 | 02:27 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Jan 20, 2013 | 3 | 12:14 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Jan 20, 2013 | 2 | 06:13 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Jan 20, 2013 | 1 | 18:24 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Jan 20, 2013 | 1 | 03:08 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Jan 20, 2013 | 1 | 03:02 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |