Scouting Report
Brad Richards holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Richards wins 55.4% vs right-shot opponents — Ward shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 49.8% vs Ward 46.8% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richards 84.5%
Defensive zone
Richards 55.2%
Neutral zone
Richards 56.7%
Result
Brad Richards favored at 71.9%
71.9%
28.1%
Richards
Ward
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Richards
Ward
Last 7: Richards 5-2 Ward
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
4
0
Richards
Ward
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ward
1
2
Richards
Ward
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Ward
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (950)
55.0% (80)
-5.2%
Power Play
53.6% (69)
43.9% (57)
+9.7%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (10)
33.9% (62)
-13.9%
On penalty kill, Ward has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ward shoots right. Richards is 55.4% vs right-shot opponents (390).
Richards shoots left. Ward is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (167).
Home / Away
Richards
Ward
Home
51.1% (532)
50.9% (114)
Away
48.3% (497)
37.6% (85)
By Period
Richards
Ward
P1
48.6%
42.6%
P2
51.0%
38.5%
P3
49.8%
54.8%
OT
43.8%
28.6%
Final 5 min
50.0%
41.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
49.8%
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2013 | 3 | 16:35 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Dec 27, 2013 | 2 | 15:27 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Dec 27, 2013 | 2 | 07:32 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Dec 27, 2013 | 2 | 07:22 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Dec 27, 2013 | 2 | 07:19 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Dec 8, 2013 | 1 | 16:57 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Dec 8, 2013 | 1 | 16:40 | Offensive | Brad Richards |