Scouting Report
Brad Richards holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Richards wins 53.4% vs right-shot opponents — Ward shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 50.3% vs Ward 48.4% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Richards leads 11-6 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Richards 87.2%
Defensive zone
Ward 54.0%
Neutral zone
Richards 57.4%
Result
Brad Richards favored at 68.5%
68.5%
31.5%
Richards
Ward
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
6
(17 meetings)
11
6
Richards
Ward
Last 10: Richards 7-3 Ward
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
7
2
Richards
Ward
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richards
4
3
Richards
Ward
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ward
0
1
Richards
Ward
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Ward
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (4,561)
51.3% (1,186)
-0.9%
Power Play
51.0% (512)
53.4% (238)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (92)
35.5% (366)
+5.8%
On penalty kill, Richards has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ward shoots right. Richards is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,806).
Richards shoots left. Ward is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,320).
Home / Away
Richards
Ward
Home
51.1% (2,671)
50.3% (870)
Away
49.5% (2,512)
46.5% (921)
By Period
Richards
Ward
P1
49.6%
47.6%
P2
50.3%
47.5%
P3
51.0%
50.3%
OT
50.6%
30.8%
Final 5 min
49.4%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
50.3%
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2016 | 2 | 18:46 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Nov 7, 2014 | 3 | 07:49 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Nov 7, 2014 | 2 | 17:06 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Nov 7, 2014 | 2 | 06:09 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Dec 27, 2013 | 3 | 16:35 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Dec 27, 2013 | 2 | 15:27 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Dec 27, 2013 | 2 | 07:32 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Dec 27, 2013 | 2 | 07:22 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Dec 27, 2013 | 2 | 07:19 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Dec 8, 2013 | 1 | 16:57 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Dec 8, 2013 | 1 | 16:40 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Feb 17, 2013 | 2 | 06:02 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 1 | 18:23 | Neutral | Joel Ward |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 2 | 11:30 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Oct 23, 2010 | 3 | 13:39 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Oct 23, 2010 | 3 | 00:38 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Oct 23, 2010 | 2 | 01:36 | Defensive | Joel Ward |