Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on neutral-zone draws (73% H2H, 22 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 50.3% vs Tavares 54.4% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 42-21 in 63 meetings
Offensive zone
Richards 78.1%
Defensive zone
Richards 71.0%
Neutral zone
Richards 80.4%
Result
Brad Richards favored at 76.8%
76.8%
23.2%
Richards
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
42
(63 meetings)
21
42
Richards
Tavares
Last 10: Richards 6-4 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
7
15
Richards
Tavares
22 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
8
11
Richards
Tavares
19 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
6
16
Richards
Tavares
22 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (4,561)
54.0% (16,108)
-3.6%
Power Play
51.0% (512)
56.5% (4,283)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (92)
50.6% (620)
-9.3%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Richards is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,377).
Richards shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,505).
Home / Away
Richards
Tavares
Home
51.1% (2,671)
56.1% (10,503)
Away
49.5% (2,512)
52.7% (10,537)
By Period
Richards
Tavares
P1
49.6%
55.0%
P2
50.3%
54.1%
P3
51.0%
54.1%
OT
50.6%
55.9%
Final 5 min
49.4%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
50.3%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2016 | 2 | 16:03 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 15, 2016 | 2 | 05:03 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 6, 2016 | 3 | 00:36 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Mar 17, 2015 | 2 | 00:49 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 3 | 00:59 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 2 | 15:45 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 2 | 09:44 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 1 | 16:04 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 1 | 05:15 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Jan 31, 2014 | 3 | 12:14 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Jan 31, 2014 | 1 | 13:36 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 29, 2014 | 2 | 15:34 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 29, 2014 | 2 | 10:11 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 29, 2014 | 1 | 09:14 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 29, 2014 | 1 | 06:50 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 21, 2014 | 3 | 16:56 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 21, 2014 | 3 | 13:57 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 29, 2013 | 3 | 19:59 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Oct 29, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Oct 29, 2013 | 2 | 13:41 | Defensive | Brad Richards |