Scouting Report
Brad Richards holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Richards wins 57.6% vs right-shot opponents — Brodziak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 50.6% vs Brodziak 49.0% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Richards leads 12-3 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Richards 78.0%
Defensive zone
Brodziak 61.4%
Neutral zone
Richards 60.1%
Result
Brad Richards favored at 62.5%
62.5%
37.5%
Richards
Brodziak
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
3
(15 meetings)
12
3
Richards
Brodziak
Last 10: Richards 8-2 Brodziak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
7
1
Richards
Brodziak
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richards
3
2
Richards
Brodziak
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
2
0
Richards
Brodziak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Brodziak
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (885)
50.2% (809)
+1.1%
Power Play
50.7% (75)
49.5% (93)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (27)
42.8% (173)
-9.5%
On penalty kill, Brodziak has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brodziak shoots right. Richards is 57.6% vs right-shot opponents (255).
Richards shoots left. Brodziak is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (847).
Home / Away
Richards
Brodziak
Home
49.9% (527)
48.8% (568)
Away
51.4% (463)
49.0% (520)
By Period
Richards
Brodziak
P1
49.2%
46.4%
P2
50.7%
46.1%
P3
52.2%
53.9%
OT
45.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.9%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
50.6%
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2011 | 3 | 01:08 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Apr 10, 2011 | 1 | 07:13 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Apr 10, 2011 | 1 | 06:05 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Apr 10, 2011 | 1 | 03:34 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Mar 11, 2011 | 2 | 14:13 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 11, 2011 | 2 | 07:59 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 11, 2011 | 2 | 02:19 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Mar 11, 2011 | 2 | 02:16 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Mar 11, 2011 | 2 | 02:00 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Jan 9, 2011 | 3 | 02:05 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Jan 9, 2011 | 3 | 01:47 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Jan 9, 2011 | 1 | 12:49 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Jan 9, 2011 | 1 | 01:43 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 2 | 05:47 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 1 | 09:30 | Neutral | Brad Richards |