Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.3% vs 49.7%). Look for Richards on offensive-zone draws (81% H2H, 21 meetings). Richards wins 53.4% vs right-shot opponents — Brodziak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 50.3% vs Brodziak 49.7% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Richards leads 26-13 in 39 meetings
Offensive zone
Richards 84.5%
Defensive zone
Brodziak 74.6%
Neutral zone
Richards 50.3%
Result
Brad Richards favored at 62.3%
62.3%
37.7%
Richards
Brodziak
Head-to-Head Record
26
-
13
(39 meetings)
26
13
Richards
Brodziak
Last 10: Richards 3-7 Brodziak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
17
4
Richards
Brodziak
21 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brodziak
4
6
Richards
Brodziak
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
5
3
Richards
Brodziak
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Brodziak
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (4,561)
50.5% (6,432)
-0.1%
Power Play
51.0% (512)
52.8% (326)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (92)
45.5% (1,344)
-4.2%
On penalty kill, Brodziak has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brodziak shoots right. Richards is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,806).
Richards shoots left. Brodziak is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,811).
Home / Away
Richards
Brodziak
Home
51.1% (2,671)
50.4% (4,044)
Away
49.5% (2,512)
49.0% (4,089)
By Period
Richards
Brodziak
P1
49.6%
49.2%
P2
50.3%
50.7%
P3
51.0%
49.5%
OT
50.6%
42.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
50.3%
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2015 | 2 | 17:33 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Jan 11, 2015 | 2 | 17:26 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Jan 11, 2015 | 2 | 11:08 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 3 | 03:09 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 2 | 17:08 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 3 | 02:34 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 13, 2014 | 3 | 12:29 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 13, 2014 | 2 | 08:53 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Dec 22, 2013 | 3 | 12:46 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Dec 22, 2013 | 3 | 04:30 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Dec 22, 2013 | 2 | 16:23 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Dec 22, 2013 | 2 | 11:26 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Dec 22, 2013 | 2 | 07:40 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Dec 22, 2013 | 1 | 08:19 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Mar 27, 2012 | 3 | 19:21 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 27, 2012 | 3 | 12:15 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Mar 27, 2012 | 3 | 06:42 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Mar 27, 2012 | 2 | 18:29 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Mar 27, 2012 | 2 | 14:11 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Mar 27, 2012 | 2 | 11:52 | Neutral | Brad Richards |