Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 48.5% vs Eller 51.5% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richards 85.6%
Defensive zone
Eller 51.3%
Neutral zone
Richards 64.4%
Result
Brad Richards favored at 66.2%
66.2%
33.8%
Richards
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Richards
Eller
Last 6: Richards 1-5 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
2
Richards
Eller
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
2
Richards
Eller
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Richards
Eller
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (769)
51.6% (705)
-2.6%
Power Play
39.2% (51)
57.9% (19)
-18.7%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
50.0% (60)
-10.0%
On power play, Eller has a +18.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Richards is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (529).
Richards shoots left. Eller is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (480).
Home / Away
Richards
Eller
Home
49.8% (424)
54.6% (383)
Away
46.9% (401)
48.9% (401)
By Period
Richards
Eller
P1
51.3%
53.8%
P2
44.8%
52.5%
P3
49.2%
48.6%
Final 5 min
46.5%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
48.4%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2014 | 1 | 03:58 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Dec 5, 2014 | 1 | 01:08 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 3 | 05:48 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 3 | 01:36 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 2 | 13:14 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 2 | 02:21 | Neutral | Lars Eller |