Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.3% vs 50.5%). Look for Eller on offensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 50.3% vs Eller 50.5% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 13-9 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Richards 78.8%
Defensive zone
Eller 69.8%
Neutral zone
Richards 51.4%
Result
Brad Richards favored at 58.4%
58.4%
41.6%
Richards
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
13
(22 meetings)
9
13
Richards
Eller
Last 10: Richards 3-7 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
4
7
Richards
Eller
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
3
4
Richards
Eller
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Richards
Eller
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (4,561)
51.1% (10,296)
-0.7%
Power Play
51.0% (512)
52.8% (621)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (92)
46.7% (1,751)
-5.4%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Richards is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,377).
Richards shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,123).
Home / Away
Richards
Eller
Home
51.1% (2,671)
51.4% (6,118)
Away
49.5% (2,512)
49.7% (6,578)
By Period
Richards
Eller
P1
49.6%
51.2%
P2
50.3%
50.1%
P3
51.0%
50.2%
OT
50.6%
56.7%
Final 5 min
49.4%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
50.3%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2014 | 1 | 03:58 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Dec 5, 2014 | 1 | 01:08 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 3 | 05:48 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 3 | 01:36 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 2 | 13:14 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 2 | 02:21 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 3 | 04:18 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 2 | 19:54 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 2 | 01:20 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 1 | 12:05 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 19, 2013 | 3 | 01:03 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 19, 2013 | 2 | 00:57 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 2 | 18:41 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 2 | 18:38 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 2 | 14:12 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 2 | 01:19 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 1 | 11:24 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 1 | 04:29 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 15, 2012 | 3 | 14:14 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 15, 2012 | 3 | 12:33 | Defensive | Brad Richards |