Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.3% vs 49.7%). Richards wins 53.4% vs right-shot opponents — Latta shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 50.3% vs Latta 49.7% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richards 79.3%
Defensive zone
Latta 58.7%
Neutral zone
Richards 54.8%
Result
Brad Richards favored at 61.9%
61.9%
38.1%
Richards
Latta
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Richards
Latta
Last 5: Richards 4-1 Latta
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
2
0
Richards
Latta
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Latta
0
1
Richards
Latta
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
2
0
Richards
Latta
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Latta
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (4,561)
50.2% (625)
+0.2%
Power Play
51.0% (512)
36.4% (11)
+14.6%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (92)
33.3% (12)
+8.0%
On power play, Richards has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Latta shoots right. Richards is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,806).
Richards shoots left. Latta is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (442).
Home / Away
Richards
Latta
Home
51.1% (2,671)
51.3% (345)
Away
49.5% (2,512)
47.9% (303)
By Period
Richards
Latta
P1
49.6%
46.3%
P2
50.3%
52.5%
P3
51.0%
50.8%
Final 5 min
49.4%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
50.3%
Latta
44.0%▼
51.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2015 | 2 | 03:15 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Nov 7, 2014 | 3 | 02:28 | Defensive | Michael Latta |
| Nov 7, 2014 | 1 | 13:14 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Nov 7, 2014 | 1 | 04:35 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Nov 7, 2014 | 1 | 04:29 | Offensive | Brad Richards |