Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.3% vs 50.5%). Look for Richards on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 50.3% vs Richards 50.5% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Richards leads 20-14 in 34 meetings
Offensive zone
Richards 59.2%
Defensive zone
Richards 70.8%
Neutral zone
Richards 58.6%
Result
Mike Richards favored at 55.9%
44.1%
55.9%
Richards
Richards
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
14
(34 meetings)
20
14
Richards
Richards
Last 10: Richards 6-4 Richards
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
7
5
Richards
Richards
12 total
Defensive Zone
Even
5
5
Richards
Richards
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
8
4
Richards
Richards
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Richards
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (4,561)
50.0% (3,722)
+0.4%
Power Play
51.0% (512)
54.6% (445)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (92)
51.4% (502)
-10.1%
On penalty kill, Richards has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Richards shoots left. Richards is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,377).
Richards shoots left. Richards is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,122).
Home / Away
Richards
Richards
Home
51.1% (2,671)
50.8% (2,363)
Away
49.5% (2,512)
50.3% (2,336)
By Period
Richards
Richards
P1
49.6%
49.6%
P2
50.3%
52.3%
P3
51.0%
49.3%
OT
50.6%
58.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
50.3%
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2015 | 3 | 08:09 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 30, 2015 | 2 | 10:02 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Mar 30, 2015 | 2 | 01:46 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 30, 2015 | 2 | 01:37 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Mar 30, 2015 | 1 | 02:01 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 2 | 04:24 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Nov 17, 2013 | 3 | 18:13 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Nov 17, 2013 | 2 | 19:32 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Nov 17, 2013 | 2 | 06:23 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Nov 17, 2013 | 2 | 06:12 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Nov 17, 2013 | 2 | 00:54 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Nov 17, 2013 | 1 | 19:29 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Oct 7, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Oct 7, 2011 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Oct 7, 2011 | 3 | 00:29 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Oct 7, 2011 | 2 | 07:34 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Oct 7, 2011 | 2 | 00:19 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Oct 7, 2011 | 1 | 15:22 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Oct 7, 2011 | 1 | 10:51 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Oct 7, 2011 | 1 | 07:21 | Defensive | Brad Richards |