Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.6% vs 51.2%). Look for Richards on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 50.5% vs Thompson 51.1% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richards 72.9%
Defensive zone
Thompson 88.0%
Neutral zone
Thompson 60.8%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 62.4%
37.6%
62.4%
Richards
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Richards
Thompson
Last 9: Richards 6-3 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
2
0
Richards
Thompson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
2
Richards
Thompson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
3
1
Richards
Thompson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (655)
52.6% (462)
-1.6%
Power Play
49.1% (106)
80.0% (10)
-30.9%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (12)
44.4% (133)
-2.7%
On power play, Thompson has a +30.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Richards is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (451).
Richards shoots left. Thompson is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (362).
Home / Away
Richards
Thompson
Home
51.9% (397)
52.5% (324)
Away
49.2% (376)
49.8% (281)
By Period
Richards
Thompson
P1
47.1%
49.0%
P2
54.2%
55.4%
P3
50.0%
48.3%
OT
56.3%
83.3%
Final 5 min
48.2%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
50.6%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2013 | 2 | 03:53 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Feb 10, 2013 | 3 | 08:59 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Feb 10, 2013 | 2 | 19:05 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Feb 10, 2013 | 2 | 18:57 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 3 | 10:43 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 1 | 06:25 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 1 | 06:08 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brad Richards |