Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 50.3% vs Thompson 52.9% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Thompson leads 26-23 in 49 meetings
Offensive zone
Richards 84.4%
Defensive zone
Thompson 70.0%
Neutral zone
Richards 56.5%
Result
Brad Richards favored at 56.9%
56.9%
43.1%
Richards
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
26
(49 meetings)
23
26
Richards
Thompson
Last 10: Richards 5-5 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
10
4
Richards
Thompson
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
4
10
Richards
Thompson
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
9
12
Richards
Thompson
21 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (4,561)
54.1% (5,812)
-3.7%
Power Play
51.0% (512)
54.8% (135)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (92)
47.9% (1,381)
-6.6%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Richards is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,377).
Richards shoots left. Thompson is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (4,683).
Home / Away
Richards
Thompson
Home
51.1% (2,671)
54.8% (3,626)
Away
49.5% (2,512)
51.1% (3,717)
By Period
Richards
Thompson
P1
49.6%
53.2%
P2
50.3%
52.9%
P3
51.0%
52.8%
OT
50.6%
47.9%
Final 5 min
49.4%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
50.3%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2016 | 3 | 02:28 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 23, 2016 | 2 | 07:40 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 30, 2015 | 3 | 10:06 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 30, 2015 | 1 | 17:23 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 28, 2014 | 2 | 16:46 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Dec 29, 2013 | 3 | 19:07 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 29, 2013 | 3 | 05:43 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Dec 29, 2013 | 2 | 03:18 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Dec 29, 2013 | 1 | 18:17 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Dec 29, 2013 | 1 | 11:43 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Nov 25, 2013 | 3 | 02:19 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Nov 25, 2013 | 1 | 16:56 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 25, 2013 | 1 | 07:34 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 28, 2013 | 2 | 03:53 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Feb 10, 2013 | 3 | 08:59 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Feb 10, 2013 | 2 | 19:05 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Feb 10, 2013 | 2 | 18:57 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 3 | 10:43 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 1 | 06:25 | Offensive | Brad Richards |