Scouting Report
Brad Richards holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Jokinen on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 15 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 50.3% vs Jokinen 46.4% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Jokinen leads 32-25 in 57 meetings
Offensive zone
Jokinen 62.3%
Defensive zone
Jokinen 70.5%
Neutral zone
Jokinen 61.8%
Result
Olli Jokinen favored at 64.3%
35.7%
64.3%
Richards
Jokinen
Head-to-Head Record
25
-
32
(57 meetings)
25
32
Richards
Jokinen
Last 10: Richards 4-6 Jokinen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
10
9
Richards
Jokinen
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
5
10
Richards
Jokinen
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jokinen
10
13
Richards
Jokinen
23 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Jokinen
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (4,561)
45.8% (3,924)
+4.6%
Power Play
51.0% (512)
50.8% (585)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (92)
42.9% (247)
-1.6%
On even strength, Richards has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jokinen shoots left. Richards is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,377).
Richards shoots left. Jokinen is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,240).
Home / Away
Richards
Jokinen
Home
51.1% (2,671)
47.4% (2,345)
Away
49.5% (2,512)
45.3% (2,443)
By Period
Richards
Jokinen
P1
49.6%
45.6%
P2
50.3%
47.5%
P3
51.0%
45.4%
OT
50.6%
56.1%
Final 5 min
49.4%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
50.3%
Jokinen
38.0%▼
42.5%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2014 | 2 | 10:18 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 1 | 02:18 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 1 | 10:45 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 14, 2014 | 2 | 13:25 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Mar 14, 2014 | 2 | 13:11 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 14, 2014 | 2 | 04:56 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Mar 14, 2014 | 2 | 01:39 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 14, 2014 | 1 | 18:57 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 14, 2014 | 1 | 03:26 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 3 | 12:51 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 3 | 03:44 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 3 | 00:37 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 3 | 12:20 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 3 | 09:43 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 3 | 09:22 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 2 | 19:26 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 2 | 08:25 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 3 | 11:54 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 3 | 09:37 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 2 | 00:56 | Defensive | Brad Richards |