Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 50.3% vs Gaustad 57.6% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Gaustad leads 21-12 in 33 meetings
Offensive zone
Richards 95.1%
Defensive zone
Richards 64.8%
Neutral zone
Richards 87.4%
Result
Brad Richards favored at 80.4%
80.4%
19.6%
Richards
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
21
(33 meetings)
12
21
Richards
Gaustad
Last 10: Richards 5-5 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
10
1
Richards
Gaustad
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
2
12
Richards
Gaustad
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
8
Richards
Gaustad
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (4,561)
58.2% (4,334)
-7.8%
Power Play
51.0% (512)
65.4% (188)
-14.4%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (92)
54.8% (1,290)
-13.5%
On power play, Gaustad has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Richards is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,377).
Richards shoots left. Gaustad is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,774).
Home / Away
Richards
Gaustad
Home
51.1% (2,671)
59.5% (2,929)
Away
49.5% (2,512)
55.9% (2,897)
By Period
Richards
Gaustad
P1
49.6%
58.2%
P2
50.3%
56.4%
P3
51.0%
58.3%
OT
50.6%
66.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
50.3%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 26, 2015 | 3 | 05:08 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Dec 26, 2015 | 1 | 05:26 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 2 | 01:03 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 1 | 12:08 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 1 | 03:17 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 2 | 19:49 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 2 | 12:14 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 1 | 07:18 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 3 | 06:44 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 2 | 11:19 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 2 | 02:07 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 1 | 14:11 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 1 | 13:51 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 1 | 08:11 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 3 | 15:16 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 3 | 11:50 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 25, 2012 | 3 | 19:10 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Feb 25, 2012 | 3 | 16:35 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 25, 2012 | 3 | 10:57 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 25, 2012 | 3 | 00:44 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |