Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Richards wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 49.8% vs Stastny 53.8% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richards 50.0%
Defensive zone
Stastny 87.4%
Neutral zone
Stastny 83.8%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 71.0%
29.0%
71.0%
Richards
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Richards
Stastny
Last 5: Richards 4-1 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
2
0
Richards
Stastny
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richards
1
0
Richards
Stastny
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Richards
Stastny
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (950)
53.2% (995)
-3.4%
Power Play
53.6% (69)
57.6% (158)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (10)
61.4% (57)
-41.4%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +41.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Richards is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (639).
Richards shoots left. Stastny is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (738).
Home / Away
Richards
Stastny
Home
51.1% (532)
55.1% (586)
Away
48.3% (497)
53.2% (624)
By Period
Richards
Stastny
P1
48.6%
54.7%
P2
51.0%
53.1%
P3
49.8%
54.2%
OT
43.8%
60.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
49.8%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2014 | OT | 02:24 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 3, 2014 | OT | 00:14 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Apr 3, 2014 | 3 | 10:40 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Apr 3, 2014 | 2 | 16:52 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Feb 4, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brad Richards |