Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on offensive-zone draws (92% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 50.3% vs Stastny 55.1% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Richards leads 22-12 in 34 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 76.7%
Defensive zone
Stastny 93.9%
Neutral zone
Stastny 91.0%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 86.6%
13.4%
86.6%
Richards
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
22
-
12
(34 meetings)
22
12
Richards
Stastny
Last 10: Richards 7-3 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
11
1
Richards
Stastny
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
3
5
Richards
Stastny
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
8
6
Richards
Stastny
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (4,561)
54.6% (10,616)
-4.2%
Power Play
51.0% (512)
59.1% (1,994)
-8.1%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (92)
52.9% (1,119)
-11.6%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Richards is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,377).
Richards shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Home / Away
Richards
Stastny
Home
51.1% (2,671)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
49.5% (2,512)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Richards
Stastny
P1
49.6%
56.3%
P2
50.3%
55.4%
P3
51.0%
53.5%
OT
50.6%
62.9%
Final 5 min
49.4%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
50.3%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2015 | 3 | 15:15 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 8, 2015 | 3 | 15:06 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Feb 8, 2015 | 3 | 06:46 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Feb 8, 2015 | 3 | 03:17 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Feb 8, 2015 | 3 | 00:55 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Feb 8, 2015 | 1 | 12:52 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 8, 2015 | 1 | 07:18 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Feb 8, 2015 | 1 | 03:47 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Dec 3, 2014 | 2 | 05:41 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Apr 3, 2014 | OT | 02:24 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 3, 2014 | OT | 00:14 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Apr 3, 2014 | 3 | 10:40 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Apr 3, 2014 | 2 | 16:52 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Feb 4, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Mar 17, 2012 | 3 | 19:32 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 17, 2012 | 2 | 17:18 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 17, 2012 | 2 | 06:08 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Mar 17, 2012 | 2 | 03:41 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 17, 2012 | 2 | 00:23 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 17, 2012 | 1 | 00:14 | Defensive | Brad Richards |