Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.8% vs 52.4%). Look for Richards on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 51.7% vs Koivu 52.2% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richards 70.2%
Defensive zone
Koivu 79.5%
Neutral zone
Koivu 54.1%
Result
Saku Koivu favored at 67.0%
33.0%
67.0%
Richards
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Richards
Koivu
Last 8: Richards 6-2 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
1
0
Richards
Koivu
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richards
3
2
Richards
Koivu
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
2
0
Richards
Koivu
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (1,084)
52.2% (805)
-0.5%
Power Play
52.2% (180)
59.9% (152)
-7.7%
Penalty Kill
51.4% (37)
49.0% (239)
+2.4%
On power play, Koivu has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Richards is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (866).
Richards shoots left. Koivu is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (872).
Home / Away
Richards
Koivu
Home
52.2% (668)
54.0% (639)
Away
51.4% (648)
50.7% (594)
By Period
Richards
Koivu
P1
50.1%
52.7%
P2
52.4%
50.4%
P3
52.9%
54.1%
OT
52.4%
47.8%
Final 5 min
47.3%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
51.8%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2011 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 3 | 06:32 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 2 | 15:26 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 2 | 11:39 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 1 | 17:40 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Oct 8, 2011 | OT | 00:54 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 3 | 11:42 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 2 | 19:52 | Offensive | Brad Richards |