Scouting Report
Saku Koivu holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on defensive-zone draws (72% H2H, 18 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 50.3% vs Koivu 51.8% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Richards leads 29-25 in 54 meetings
Offensive zone
Richards 77.8%
Defensive zone
Koivu 77.8%
Neutral zone
Koivu 55.4%
Result
Saku Koivu favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Richards
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
29
-
25
(54 meetings)
29
25
Richards
Koivu
Last 10: Richards 4-6 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
10
3
Richards
Koivu
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
5
13
Richards
Koivu
18 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
14
9
Richards
Koivu
23 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (4,561)
51.9% (3,221)
-1.5%
Power Play
51.0% (512)
59.3% (437)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (92)
48.0% (764)
-6.7%
On power play, Koivu has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Richards is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,377).
Richards shoots left. Koivu is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,153).
Home / Away
Richards
Koivu
Home
51.1% (2,671)
53.5% (2,281)
Away
49.5% (2,512)
50.1% (2,209)
By Period
Richards
Koivu
P1
49.6%
51.1%
P2
50.3%
52.6%
P3
51.0%
51.8%
OT
50.6%
52.3%
Final 5 min
49.4%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
50.3%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2013 | 3 | 08:37 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Oct 10, 2013 | 2 | 10:20 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Oct 10, 2013 | 2 | 08:01 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Oct 10, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Oct 10, 2013 | 1 | 11:53 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Oct 10, 2013 | 1 | 11:36 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Oct 10, 2013 | 1 | 09:17 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Oct 10, 2013 | 1 | 07:32 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Oct 10, 2013 | 1 | 03:22 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Oct 10, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 3, 2011 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 3 | 06:32 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 2 | 15:26 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 2 | 11:39 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 1 | 17:40 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Oct 8, 2011 | OT | 00:54 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 3 | 11:42 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 2 | 19:52 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Apr 3, 2011 | 3 | 02:08 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Apr 3, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brad Richards |