Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.3% vs 49.5%). Look for Horcoff on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 50.3% vs Horcoff 49.6% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Horcoff leads 10-3 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Richards 73.1%
Defensive zone
Horcoff 67.0%
Neutral zone
Richards 51.9%
Result
Shawn Horcoff favored at 55.2%
44.8%
55.2%
Richards
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
10
(13 meetings)
3
10
Richards
Horcoff
Last 10: Richards 2-8 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
0
1
Richards
Horcoff
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
0
6
Richards
Horcoff
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Richards
Horcoff
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (4,561)
50.6% (3,133)
-0.2%
Power Play
51.0% (512)
51.4% (555)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (92)
43.0% (567)
-1.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Richards is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,377).
Richards shoots left. Horcoff is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,000).
Home / Away
Richards
Horcoff
Home
51.1% (2,671)
51.1% (2,199)
Away
49.5% (2,512)
48.0% (2,104)
By Period
Richards
Horcoff
P1
49.6%
48.2%
P2
50.3%
49.5%
P3
51.0%
50.9%
OT
50.6%
51.9%
Final 5 min
49.4%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
50.3%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2015 | 2 | 14:37 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 2 | 11:42 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 2 | 08:40 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 2 | 06:15 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 1 | 07:45 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Jan 10, 2014 | 3 | 09:28 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 21, 2013 | 3 | 08:27 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 3 | 11:35 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 3 | 08:26 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 3 | 04:03 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 2 | 08:21 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Jan 26, 2011 | 1 | 17:10 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Jan 26, 2011 | 1 | 13:43 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |