Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.3% vs 50.5%). Look for Richards on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Richards wins 53.4% vs right-shot opponents — Brouwer shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 50.3% vs Brouwer 50.5% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richards 71.1%
Defensive zone
Brouwer 58.2%
Neutral zone
Brouwer 53.1%
Result
Brad Richards favored at 65.1%
65.1%
34.9%
Richards
Brouwer
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Richards
Brouwer
Last 8: Richards 4-4 Brouwer
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
4
2
Richards
Brouwer
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brouwer
0
2
Richards
Brouwer
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Brouwer
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (4,561)
50.3% (702)
+0.1%
Power Play
51.0% (512)
53.7% (551)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (92)
46.6% (412)
-5.3%
On penalty kill, Brouwer has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brouwer shoots right. Richards is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,806).
Richards shoots left. Brouwer is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,203).
Home / Away
Richards
Brouwer
Home
51.1% (2,671)
53.5% (854)
Away
49.5% (2,512)
47.3% (811)
By Period
Richards
Brouwer
P1
49.6%
51.4%
P2
50.3%
49.3%
P3
51.0%
51.2%
OT
50.6%
43.5%
Final 5 min
49.4%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
50.3%
Brouwer
38.0%▼
46.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2014 | 1 | 07:50 | Offensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Jan 19, 2014 | 1 | 07:46 | Offensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Jan 19, 2014 | 1 | 04:11 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Mar 24, 2013 | 3 | 13:15 | Neutral | Troy Brouwer |
| Mar 24, 2013 | 3 | 04:41 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Mar 24, 2013 | 2 | 07:01 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Mar 24, 2013 | 1 | 02:53 | Neutral | Troy Brouwer |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 1 | 15:02 | Offensive | Brad Richards |