Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.3% vs 50.1%). Look for Rask on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 50.3% vs Rask 50.1% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Rask leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Richards 67.2%
Defensive zone
Richards 55.1%
Neutral zone
Richards 53.7%
Result
Brad Richards favored at 56.8%
56.8%
43.2%
Richards
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Richards
Rask
Last 10: Richards 3-7 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rask
0
2
Richards
Rask
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rask
1
4
Richards
Rask
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Richards
Rask
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (4,561)
50.0% (4,428)
+0.4%
Power Play
51.0% (512)
54.3% (363)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (92)
35.2% (54)
+6.1%
On penalty kill, Richards has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Richards is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,377).
Richards shoots left. Rask is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,102).
Home / Away
Richards
Rask
Home
51.1% (2,671)
52.0% (2,380)
Away
49.5% (2,512)
48.3% (2,465)
By Period
Richards
Rask
P1
49.6%
50.7%
P2
50.3%
48.9%
P3
51.0%
50.7%
OT
50.6%
52.1%
Final 5 min
49.4%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
50.3%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2015 | 3 | 01:59 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 2 | 17:25 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 2 | 07:36 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 3 | 15:21 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 3 | 05:39 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 3 | 00:26 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 2 | 10:39 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 1 | 08:58 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Mar 23, 2015 | 2 | 12:47 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Mar 23, 2015 | 1 | 06:41 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Mar 2, 2015 | 3 | 13:47 | Neutral | Victor Rask |