Scouting Report
Brad Richardson holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Richardson on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Richardson wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Boyle shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richardson 53.4% vs Boyle 50.9% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Boyle leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Boyle 68.0%
Defensive zone
Boyle 53.2%
Neutral zone
Boyle 50.5%
Result
Brian Boyle favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Richardson
Boyle
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Richardson
Boyle
Last 10: Richardson 5-5 Boyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
0
2
Richardson
Boyle
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richardson
4
1
Richardson
Boyle
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Boyle
1
3
Richardson
Boyle
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richardson
Boyle
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (5,037)
51.7% (5,426)
+3.2%
Power Play
56.8% (125)
54.6% (597)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (1,001)
46.2% (1,301)
-0.3%
On even strength, Richardson has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyle shoots left. Richardson is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (3,818).
Richardson shoots left. Boyle is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (4,667).
Home / Away
Richardson
Boyle
Home
53.6% (3,164)
52.2% (3,521)
Away
53.3% (3,003)
49.8% (3,828)
By Period
Richardson
Boyle
P1
52.3%
51.3%
P2
54.2%
51.1%
P3
53.5%
50.4%
OT
61.1%
55.3%
Final 5 min
55.2%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
53.4%
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2019 | 2 | 17:35 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Jan 4, 2019 | 1 | 11:19 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 3 | 14:48 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 2 | 19:31 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 2 | 16:48 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 2 | 08:43 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 2 | 02:12 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 1 | 03:05 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 19, 2016 | 2 | 13:02 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Apr 1, 2014 | 1 | 14:43 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 30, 2013 | 3 | 12:07 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |