Scouting Report
Brad Richardson holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richardson 51.9% vs Nelson 48.5% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 53.3%
Defensive zone
Richardson 87.5%
Neutral zone
Richardson 77.8%
Result
Brad Richardson favored at 67.3%
67.3%
32.7%
Richardson
Nelson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Richardson
Nelson
Last 5: Richardson 4-1 Nelson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richardson
2
0
Richardson
Nelson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richardson
1
0
Richardson
Nelson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Richardson
Nelson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richardson
Nelson
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (830)
48.0% (681)
+6.6%
Power Play
41.2% (17)
54.0% (87)
-12.8%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (196)
40.5% (37)
+1.8%
On power play, Nelson has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nelson shoots left. Richardson is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (679).
Richardson shoots left. Nelson is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (555).
Home / Away
Richardson
Nelson
Home
53.2% (485)
51.1% (399)
Away
51.1% (558)
45.6% (406)
By Period
Richardson
Nelson
P1
53.9%
51.8%
P2
50.6%
47.5%
P3
51.5%
46.5%
OT
71.4%
20.0%
Final 5 min
53.0%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
52.1%
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2018 | 1 | 15:09 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 3 | 17:40 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 3 | 11:52 | Offensive | Brad Richardson |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 3 | 01:32 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 1 | 16:51 | Offensive | Brad Richardson |