Scouting Report
Brad Richardson holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Richardson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Richardson wins 55.7% vs left-shot opponents — Nelson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richardson 54.5% vs Nelson 47.8% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Richardson leads 13-3 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Richardson 64.5%
Defensive zone
Richardson 97.1%
Neutral zone
Richardson 91.4%
Result
Brad Richardson favored at 79.4%
79.4%
20.6%
Richardson
Nelson
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
3
(16 meetings)
13
3
Richardson
Nelson
Last 10: Richardson 9-1 Nelson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richardson
5
3
Richardson
Nelson
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richardson
4
0
Richardson
Nelson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richardson
4
0
Richardson
Nelson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richardson
Nelson
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (811)
47.4% (1,020)
+8.7%
Power Play
63.3% (30)
51.5% (163)
+11.8%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (210)
42.9% (63)
+6.1%
On power play, Richardson has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nelson shoots left. Richardson is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (619).
Richardson shoots left. Nelson is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Home / Away
Richardson
Nelson
Home
55.3% (590)
51.0% (641)
Away
54.4% (461)
44.1% (605)
By Period
Richardson
Nelson
P1
56.2%
48.2%
P2
56.4%
48.1%
P3
51.8%
46.9%
OT
66.7%
42.9%
Final 5 min
55.9%
44.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
54.9%
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2019 | 3 | 16:46 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Mar 24, 2019 | 3 | 08:47 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Mar 24, 2019 | 3 | 00:37 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Mar 24, 2019 | 3 | 00:29 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Mar 24, 2019 | 2 | 15:42 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 18, 2018 | 3 | 12:47 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Dec 18, 2018 | 3 | 11:42 | Offensive | Brad Richardson |
| Dec 18, 2018 | 3 | 11:22 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Dec 18, 2018 | 3 | 07:28 | Offensive | Brad Richardson |
| Dec 18, 2018 | 2 | 06:41 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Dec 18, 2018 | 2 | 01:00 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 18, 2018 | 1 | 18:42 | Offensive | Brad Richardson |
| Dec 18, 2018 | 1 | 14:22 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 18, 2018 | 1 | 13:25 | Offensive | Brad Richardson |
| Dec 18, 2018 | 1 | 10:52 | Offensive | Brad Richardson |
| Dec 18, 2018 | 1 | 04:56 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |