Scouting Report
Brad Richardson holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Richardson on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Richardson wins 55.7% vs left-shot opponents — Cave shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richardson 54.5% vs Cave 50.1% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richardson 53.9%
Defensive zone
Richardson 86.6%
Neutral zone
Richardson 78.1%
Result
Brad Richardson favored at 82.3%
82.3%
17.7%
Richardson
Cave
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Richardson
Cave
Last 6: Richardson 4-2 Cave
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richardson
2
1
Richardson
Cave
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richardson
2
1
Richardson
Cave
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richardson
Cave
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (811)
50.8% (356)
+5.3%
Power Play
63.3% (30)
36.4% (11)
+26.9%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (210)
46.9% (32)
+2.1%
On power play, Richardson has a +26.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cave shoots left. Richardson is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (619).
Richardson shoots left. Cave is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (272).
Home / Away
Richardson
Cave
Home
55.3% (590)
46.7% (184)
Away
54.4% (461)
53.0% (215)
By Period
Richardson
Cave
P1
56.2%
45.3%
P2
56.4%
51.9%
P3
51.8%
53.6%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.9%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
54.9%
Cave
42.0%▼
50.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2019 | 3 | 00:41 | Defensive | Colby Cave |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 2 | 07:12 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 2 | 04:38 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 1 | 15:22 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 1 | 05:12 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Colby Cave |