Scouting Report
Brad Richardson holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Richardson on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Richardson wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Cave shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richardson 53.4% vs Cave 49.3% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richardson 63.2%
Defensive zone
Richardson 82.6%
Neutral zone
Richardson 78.9%
Result
Brad Richardson favored at 80.8%
80.8%
19.2%
Richardson
Cave
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Richardson
Cave
Last 6: Richardson 4-2 Cave
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richardson
2
1
Richardson
Cave
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richardson
2
1
Richardson
Cave
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richardson
Cave
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (5,037)
50.1% (445)
+4.8%
Power Play
56.8% (125)
41.7% (12)
+15.1%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (1,001)
41.9% (43)
+4.0%
On power play, Richardson has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cave shoots left. Richardson is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (3,818).
Richardson shoots left. Cave is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (346).
Home / Away
Richardson
Cave
Home
53.6% (3,164)
46.8% (233)
Away
53.3% (3,003)
51.3% (267)
By Period
Richardson
Cave
P1
52.3%
46.3%
P2
54.2%
48.3%
P3
53.5%
53.7%
OT
61.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
53.4%
Cave
42.0%▼
50.5%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2019 | 3 | 00:41 | Defensive | Colby Cave |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 2 | 07:12 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 2 | 04:38 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 1 | 15:22 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 1 | 05:12 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Colby Cave |