Scouting Report
Brad Richardson holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Richardson wins 59.1% vs right-shot opponents — Lazar shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richardson 55.8% vs Lazar 49.2% (+9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richardson 60.0%
Defensive zone
Lazar 65.8%
Neutral zone
Lazar 55.2%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Richardson
Lazar
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Richardson
Lazar
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richardson
1
0
Richardson
Lazar
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
0
1
Richardson
Lazar
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richardson
Lazar
Edge
Even Strength
59.7% (221)
51.3% (232)
+8.4%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
0.0% (1)
+100.0%
Penalty Kill
31.3% (16)
37.8% (45)
-6.5%
On power play, Richardson has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lazar shoots right. Richardson is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (88).
Richardson shoots left. Lazar is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (220).
Home / Away
Richardson
Lazar
Home
60.2% (88)
43.5% (131)
Away
57.0% (151)
53.7% (147)
By Period
Richardson
Lazar
P1
63.8%
53.8%
P2
59.1%
50.5%
P3
50.7%
41.2%
Final 5 min
65.3%
46.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
58.2%
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2021 | 1 | 19:01 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 1 | 08:39 | Offensive | Brad Richardson |