Scouting Report
Brad Richardson holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Richardson on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Richardson wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Roy shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richardson 53.4% vs Roy 47.4% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Richardson leads 13-7 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Richardson 50.7%
Defensive zone
Richardson 95.1%
Neutral zone
Richardson 89.5%
Result
Brad Richardson favored at 76.2%
76.2%
23.8%
Richardson
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
7
(20 meetings)
13
7
Richardson
Roy
Last 10: Richardson 7-3 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
2
6
Richardson
Roy
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richardson
7
1
Richardson
Roy
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richardson
4
0
Richardson
Roy
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richardson
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (5,037)
46.4% (3,031)
+8.5%
Power Play
56.8% (125)
53.6% (560)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (1,001)
46.8% (267)
-0.9%
On even strength, Richardson has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots left. Richardson is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (3,818).
Richardson shoots left. Roy is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,462).
Home / Away
Richardson
Roy
Home
53.6% (3,164)
49.5% (1,982)
Away
53.3% (3,003)
45.1% (1,897)
By Period
Richardson
Roy
P1
52.3%
47.6%
P2
54.2%
46.2%
P3
53.5%
48.5%
OT
61.1%
43.1%
Final 5 min
55.2%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
53.4%
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2014 | 2 | 11:59 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 2, 2014 | 2 | 06:41 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 2, 2014 | 1 | 15:46 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Feb 26, 2014 | 2 | 08:55 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Feb 26, 2014 | 1 | 05:17 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Jan 10, 2014 | 3 | 07:56 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Jan 10, 2014 | 3 | 07:51 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Jan 10, 2014 | 2 | 14:38 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Jan 10, 2014 | 2 | 08:34 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Jan 10, 2014 | 2 | 08:24 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Jan 10, 2014 | 2 | 08:15 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Jan 10, 2014 | 2 | 05:58 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Jan 10, 2014 | 1 | 07:18 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Oct 25, 2013 | 3 | 02:31 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Oct 25, 2013 | 1 | 16:56 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Oct 25, 2013 | 1 | 11:02 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 31, 2013 | 2 | 09:21 | Offensive | Brad Richardson |
| Mar 31, 2013 | 1 | 15:49 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 3 | 10:34 | Offensive | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 2 | 03:53 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |