Scouting Report
Brad Richardson holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Richardson wins 59.1% vs right-shot opponents — Stepan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richardson 55.8% vs Stepan 54.8% (+2.3%)
Offensive zone
Stepan 52.3%
Defensive zone
Stepan 52.4%
Neutral zone
Richardson 51.1%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Richardson
Stepan
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richardson
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
59.7% (221)
54.5% (374)
+5.2%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
0.0% (2)
+100.0%
Penalty Kill
31.3% (16)
64.7% (68)
-33.4%
On power play, Richardson has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Richardson is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (88).
Richardson shoots left. Stepan is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (324).
Home / Away
Richardson
Stepan
Home
60.2% (88)
54.5% (222)
Away
57.0% (151)
57.2% (222)
By Period
Richardson
Stepan
P1
63.8%
57.5%
P2
59.1%
54.7%
P3
50.7%
55.9%
Final 5 min
65.3%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
58.2%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
55.9%