Scouting Report
Brad Richardson holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (74% H2H, 31 meetings). Richardson wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richardson 53.4% vs Staal 50.6% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Richardson leads 36-34 in 70 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 76.4%
Defensive zone
Richardson 80.2%
Neutral zone
Richardson 58.2%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Richardson
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
36
-
34
(70 meetings)
36
34
Richardson
Staal
Last 10: Richardson 4-6 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
8
23
Richardson
Staal
31 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richardson
15
7
Richardson
Staal
22 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richardson
13
4
Richardson
Staal
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richardson
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (5,037)
50.5% (10,347)
+4.4%
Power Play
56.8% (125)
53.5% (2,023)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (1,001)
44.2% (781)
+1.7%
On even strength, Richardson has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Richardson is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (3,818).
Richardson shoots left. Staal is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (8,336).
Home / Away
Richardson
Staal
Home
53.6% (3,164)
52.6% (6,558)
Away
53.3% (3,003)
48.6% (6,664)
By Period
Richardson
Staal
P1
52.3%
50.0%
P2
54.2%
51.1%
P3
53.5%
50.4%
OT
61.1%
55.2%
Final 5 min
55.2%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
53.4%
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2019 | 3 | 04:22 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 2 | 17:47 | Offensive | Brad Richardson |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 1 | 15:23 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 1 | 05:38 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 3 | 11:24 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 3 | 00:57 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 1 | 15:30 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 1 | 13:28 | Offensive | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 3 | 11:57 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 1 | 11:41 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 31, 2019 | 3 | 19:43 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 31, 2019 | 3 | 16:05 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 31, 2019 | 3 | 04:35 | Offensive | Brad Richardson |
| Mar 31, 2019 | 3 | 04:24 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Mar 31, 2019 | 3 | 03:04 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 31, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Mar 31, 2019 | 2 | 10:30 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 31, 2019 | 2 | 04:01 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Mar 31, 2019 | 2 | 03:41 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 31, 2019 | 1 | 15:35 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |