Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.4% vs 53.2%). Look for Richardson on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 25 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richardson 53.4% vs Carter 53.2% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Richardson leads 33-22 in 55 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 80.3%
Defensive zone
Richardson 65.9%
Neutral zone
Carter 55.1%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Richardson
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
33
-
22
(55 meetings)
33
22
Richardson
Carter
Last 10: Richardson 7-3 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
4
14
Richardson
Carter
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richardson
20
5
Richardson
Carter
25 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richardson
9
3
Richardson
Carter
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richardson
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (5,037)
53.3% (8,728)
+1.6%
Power Play
56.8% (125)
57.3% (1,554)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (1,001)
46.3% (1,087)
-0.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Richardson is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,349).
Richardson shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Home / Away
Richardson
Carter
Home
53.6% (3,164)
54.7% (5,752)
Away
53.3% (3,003)
51.6% (5,632)
By Period
Richardson
Carter
P1
52.3%
53.6%
P2
54.2%
52.8%
P3
53.5%
53.1%
OT
61.1%
56.5%
Final 5 min
55.2%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
53.4%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2021 | 3 | 15:33 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 2 | 08:36 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 1 | 05:07 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 3 | 16:45 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 3 | 15:14 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 2 | 06:20 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 3 | 13:39 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 2 | 19:04 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 1 | 19:11 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 1 | 17:06 | Offensive | Brad Richardson |
| Mar 9, 2019 | 3 | 19:31 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 9, 2019 | 1 | 09:52 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 3 | 19:41 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 3 | 19:33 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 3 | 19:03 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 3 | 18:37 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 3 | 18:27 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 3 | 10:31 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 3 | 09:02 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 2 | 17:43 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |