Scouting Report
Brad Richardson holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Richardson wins 59.1% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richardson 55.8% vs Carter 56.4% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richardson 50.0%
Defensive zone
Richardson 50.6%
Neutral zone
Richardson 53.0%
Result
Brad Richardson favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Richardson
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Richardson
Carter
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
2
Richardson
Carter
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richardson
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
59.7% (221)
57.9% (885)
+1.8%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
61.7% (133)
+38.3%
Penalty Kill
31.3% (16)
45.4% (119)
-14.1%
On power play, Richardson has a +38.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Richardson is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (88).
Richardson shoots left. Carter is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Home / Away
Richardson
Carter
Home
60.2% (88)
58.2% (543)
Away
57.0% (151)
55.9% (594)
By Period
Richardson
Carter
P1
63.8%
57.5%
P2
59.1%
57.1%
P3
50.7%
55.8%
Final 5 min
65.3%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
58.2%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2021 | 3 | 15:33 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 2 | 08:36 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 1 | 05:07 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |