Scouting Report
Brad Richardson holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Richardson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Richardson wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richardson 54.7% vs Carter 51.9% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Richardson leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 71.5%
Defensive zone
Richardson 89.3%
Neutral zone
Richardson 65.2%
Result
Brad Richardson favored at 68.3%
68.3%
31.7%
Richardson
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Richardson
Carter
Last 10: Richardson 8-2 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
2
Richardson
Carter
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richardson
6
0
Richardson
Carter
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Richardson
Carter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richardson
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
56.8% (803)
52.0% (471)
+4.8%
Power Play
60.0% (15)
55.3% (132)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (148)
43.9% (41)
+2.0%
On even strength, Richardson has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Richardson is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (380).
Richardson shoots left. Carter is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (476).
Home / Away
Richardson
Carter
Home
54.6% (577)
53.6% (330)
Away
56.0% (389)
50.6% (314)
By Period
Richardson
Carter
P1
49.0%
50.0%
P2
60.9%
55.6%
P3
54.6%
50.3%
OT
54.5%
59.1%
Final 5 min
57.1%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
55.2%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2014 | 3 | 13:45 | Offensive | Brad Richardson |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 2 | 17:42 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 2 | 12:15 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 1 | 19:37 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Jan 13, 2014 | 3 | 08:34 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Jan 13, 2014 | 2 | 08:28 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Jan 13, 2014 | 1 | 08:46 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 4, 2014 | 3 | 15:30 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Jan 4, 2014 | 2 | 04:01 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Jan 4, 2014 | 1 | 19:09 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Jan 4, 2014 | 1 | 12:27 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |