Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Richardson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richardson 51.9% vs Carter 54.6% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 81.0%
Defensive zone
Richardson 59.1%
Neutral zone
Carter 60.6%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 58.3%
41.7%
58.3%
Richardson
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Richardson
Carter
Last 8: Richardson 6-2 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
2
Richardson
Carter
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richardson
3
0
Richardson
Carter
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richardson
3
0
Richardson
Carter
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richardson
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (830)
53.1% (307)
+1.5%
Power Play
41.2% (17)
62.5% (64)
-21.3%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (196)
70.4% (27)
-28.1%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +28.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Richardson is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (364).
Richardson shoots left. Carter is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (282).
Home / Away
Richardson
Carter
Home
53.2% (485)
58.9% (285)
Away
51.1% (558)
47.8% (113)
By Period
Richardson
Carter
P1
53.9%
54.9%
P2
50.6%
57.5%
P3
51.5%
56.0%
OT
71.4%
25.0%
Final 5 min
53.0%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
52.1%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 2 | 18:56 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Mar 13, 2018 | OT | 01:25 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Mar 13, 2018 | OT | 00:23 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 3 | 17:42 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 3 | 15:47 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 3 | 11:40 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 1 | 18:47 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |