Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Richardson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richardson 53.4% vs Tavares 54.9% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 86.8%
Defensive zone
Richardson 85.1%
Neutral zone
Tavares 52.2%
Result
Brad Richardson favored at 63.3%
63.3%
36.7%
Richardson
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Richardson
Tavares
Last 5: Richardson 4-1 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richardson
1
0
Richardson
Tavares
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richardson
3
0
Richardson
Tavares
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Richardson
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richardson
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (525)
54.8% (861)
+0.6%
Power Play
57.9% (19)
57.5% (226)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (114)
51.7% (29)
-5.2%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Richardson is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Richardson shoots left. Tavares is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (685).
Home / Away
Richardson
Tavares
Home
56.7% (344)
58.1% (559)
Away
51.0% (314)
52.4% (557)
By Period
Richardson
Tavares
P1
48.8%
57.6%
P2
54.1%
55.5%
P3
58.4%
52.0%
OT
100.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
53.1%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
54.0%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2020 | 3 | 14:26 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 3 | 04:21 | Offensive | Brad Richardson |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 2 | 10:58 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 2 | 03:57 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 1 | 16:46 | Neutral | John Tavares |