Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Richardson wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richardson 55.8% vs Tavares 59.8% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 83.4%
Defensive zone
Richardson 62.9%
Neutral zone
Tavares 60.5%
Result
John Tavares favored at 83.4%
16.6%
83.4%
Richardson
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Richardson
Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richardson
1
0
Richardson
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richardson
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
59.7% (221)
60.9% (1,043)
-1.2%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
60.4% (278)
+39.6%
Penalty Kill
31.3% (16)
47.6% (21)
-16.3%
On power play, Richardson has a +39.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Richardson is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (151).
Richardson shoots left. Tavares is 62.7% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Home / Away
Richardson
Tavares
Home
60.2% (88)
63.5% (684)
Away
57.0% (151)
57.6% (658)
By Period
Richardson
Tavares
P1
63.8%
60.3%
P2
59.1%
60.4%
P3
50.7%
60.1%
Final 5 min
65.3%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
58.2%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2021 | 2 | 08:06 | Offensive | Brad Richardson |