Scouting Report
Brad Richardson holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Richardson on defensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings). Richardson wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richardson 53.4% vs Hayes 47.8% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Richardson leads 15-11 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Richardson 52.0%
Defensive zone
Richardson 89.4%
Neutral zone
Richardson 85.2%
Result
Brad Richardson favored at 79.2%
79.2%
20.8%
Richardson
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
11
(26 meetings)
15
11
Richardson
Hayes
Last 10: Richardson 7-3 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
6
Richardson
Hayes
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richardson
9
1
Richardson
Hayes
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richardson
6
4
Richardson
Hayes
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richardson
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (5,037)
47.6% (6,698)
+7.3%
Power Play
56.8% (125)
51.7% (702)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (1,001)
45.4% (696)
+0.5%
On even strength, Richardson has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Richardson is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (3,818).
Richardson shoots left. Hayes is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,126).
Home / Away
Richardson
Hayes
Home
53.6% (3,164)
48.1% (3,982)
Away
53.3% (3,003)
47.4% (4,114)
By Period
Richardson
Hayes
P1
52.3%
47.5%
P2
54.2%
47.7%
P3
53.5%
47.9%
OT
61.1%
54.1%
Final 5 min
55.2%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
53.4%
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2021 | 3 | 02:34 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 1 | 18:03 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 2 | 15:12 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 1 | 17:00 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 1 | 14:19 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 5, 2019 | 1 | 02:25 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 3 | 15:52 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 1 | 16:33 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 2 | 14:33 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 2 | 10:42 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 1 | 02:05 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 2 | 19:03 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Oct 26, 2017 | 1 | 03:07 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 23, 2016 | 3 | 01:55 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Oct 23, 2016 | 2 | 04:24 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 23, 2016 | 1 | 07:07 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 2 | 05:36 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 2 | 02:07 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 1 | 12:27 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 22, 2015 | 3 | 19:17 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |