Scouting Report
Brad Richardson holds a +15.4% FO% edge overall. Richardson wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richardson 55.8% vs Hayes 43.8% (+15.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 57.2%
Defensive zone
Richardson 60.8%
Neutral zone
Hayes 55.2%
Result
Brad Richardson favored at 60.8%
60.8%
39.2%
Richardson
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Richardson
Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Richardson
Hayes
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richardson
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
59.7% (221)
42.7% (478)
+17.0%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
42.9% (98)
+57.1%
Penalty Kill
31.3% (16)
45.2% (31)
-13.9%
On power play, Richardson has a +57.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Richardson is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (151).
Richardson shoots left. Hayes is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (388).
Home / Away
Richardson
Hayes
Home
60.2% (88)
43.5% (232)
Away
57.0% (151)
42.4% (375)
By Period
Richardson
Hayes
P1
63.8%
40.1%
P2
59.1%
44.8%
P3
50.7%
42.4%
Final 5 min
65.3%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
58.2%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2021 | 3 | 02:34 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 1 | 18:03 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |