Scouting Report
Brad Richardson holds a +18.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Richardson on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Richardson wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richardson 54.0% vs Hayes 38.9% (+18.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richardson 53.7%
Defensive zone
Richardson 83.8%
Neutral zone
Richardson 78.6%
Result
Brad Richardson favored at 75.8%
75.8%
24.2%
Richardson
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Richardson
Hayes
Last 7: Richardson 4-3 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
1
Richardson
Hayes
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richardson
1
0
Richardson
Hayes
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richardson
3
2
Richardson
Hayes
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richardson
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (861)
35.4% (362)
+18.7%
Power Play
82.4% (17)
52.9% (17)
+29.5%
Penalty Kill
51.8% (83)
0.0% (2)
+51.8%
On penalty kill, Richardson has a +51.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Richardson is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (611).
Richardson shoots left. Hayes is 37.6% vs left-shot opponents (245).
Home / Away
Richardson
Hayes
Home
53.2% (451)
36.8% (212)
Away
55.5% (510)
34.9% (169)
By Period
Richardson
Hayes
P1
52.6%
40.3%
P2
54.4%
31.1%
P3
55.7%
34.2%
OT
66.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
56.6%
29.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
54.4%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
36.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2015 | 2 | 05:36 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 2 | 02:07 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 1 | 12:27 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 22, 2015 | 3 | 19:17 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Oct 22, 2015 | 3 | 14:24 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Oct 22, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 22, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |