Scouting Report
Brad Richardson holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Richardson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Richardson wins 55.7% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richardson 54.5% vs Hayes 49.3% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richardson 69.0%
Defensive zone
Richardson 95.8%
Neutral zone
Richardson 86.5%
Result
Brad Richardson favored at 93.9%
93.9%
6.1%
Richardson
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Richardson
Hayes
Last 5: Richardson 5-0 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richardson
4
0
Richardson
Hayes
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richardson
1
0
Richardson
Hayes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richardson
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (811)
50.5% (764)
+5.6%
Power Play
63.3% (30)
53.3% (90)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (210)
38.6% (127)
+10.4%
On penalty kill, Richardson has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Richardson is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (619).
Richardson shoots left. Hayes is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (648).
Home / Away
Richardson
Hayes
Home
55.3% (590)
49.0% (531)
Away
54.4% (461)
49.6% (450)
By Period
Richardson
Hayes
P1
56.2%
52.3%
P2
56.4%
45.8%
P3
51.8%
50.2%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.9%
52.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
54.9%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2019 | 3 | 15:52 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 1 | 16:33 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 2 | 14:33 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 2 | 10:42 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 1 | 02:05 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |