Scouting Report
Brad Richardson holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Richardson on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Richardson wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richardson 53.4% vs Eller 50.5% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 9-9 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Eller 64.1%
Defensive zone
Richardson 52.7%
Neutral zone
Eller 51.4%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Richardson
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
9
(18 meetings)
9
9
Richardson
Eller
Last 10: Richardson 5-5 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richardson
3
1
Richardson
Eller
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Richardson
Eller
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
5
7
Richardson
Eller
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richardson
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (5,037)
51.1% (10,296)
+3.8%
Power Play
56.8% (125)
52.8% (621)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (1,001)
46.7% (1,751)
-0.8%
On power play, Richardson has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Richardson is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (3,818).
Richardson shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,123).
Home / Away
Richardson
Eller
Home
53.6% (3,164)
51.4% (6,118)
Away
53.3% (3,003)
49.7% (6,578)
By Period
Richardson
Eller
P1
52.3%
51.2%
P2
54.2%
50.1%
P3
53.5%
50.2%
OT
61.1%
56.7%
Final 5 min
55.2%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
53.4%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2020 | 3 | 19:32 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 1 | 05:45 | Offensive | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 11, 2019 | 2 | 11:22 | Offensive | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 11, 2019 | 2 | 08:47 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 11, 2019 | 1 | 09:09 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 2 | 01:49 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 11, 2018 | 2 | 10:22 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 11, 2018 | 2 | 06:13 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Dec 22, 2017 | 3 | 11:28 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 22, 2017 | 2 | 02:43 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 6, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 6, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 6, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 30, 2014 | 3 | 04:21 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Oct 30, 2014 | 2 | 01:32 | Offensive | Brad Richardson |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 3 | 12:21 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 12, 2013 | 1 | 07:18 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 1 | 01:55 | Neutral | Lars Eller |