Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Richardson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Richardson wins 60.4% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richardson 51.8% vs Duchene 61.5% (-10.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 91.7%
Defensive zone
Duchene 54.0%
Neutral zone
Duchene 82.7%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 64.8%
35.2%
64.8%
Richardson
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Richardson
Duchene
Last 7: Richardson 6-1 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Richardson
Duchene
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richardson
5
0
Richardson
Duchene
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richardson
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (177)
62.2% (802)
-8.0%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
67.3% (153)
-42.3%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (49)
59.4% (143)
-10.4%
On power play, Duchene has a +42.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Richardson is 60.4% vs left-shot opponents (111).
Richardson shoots left. Duchene is 60.9% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
Richardson
Duchene
Home
48.5% (101)
66.5% (555)
Away
55.8% (129)
58.6% (543)
By Period
Richardson
Duchene
P1
45.5%
63.2%
P2
56.6%
59.6%
P3
54.5%
65.0%
OT
75.0%
71.4%
Final 5 min
53.6%
65.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
52.6%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
62.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2016 | 3 | 12:53 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 3 | 12:40 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 3 | 07:24 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 2 | 15:03 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 1 | 17:30 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 3 | 00:49 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 2 | 00:46 | Offensive | Brad Richardson |