Scouting Report
Brad Richardson holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Richardson wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richardson 55.8% vs Duchene 52.8% (+4.1%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 80.9%
Defensive zone
Richardson 79.1%
Neutral zone
Richardson 50.1%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Richardson
Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richardson
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
59.7% (221)
46.9% (162)
+12.8%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
73.2% (56)
+26.8%
Penalty Kill
31.3% (16)
100.0% (2)
-68.7%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +68.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Richardson is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (151).
Richardson shoots left. Duchene is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (115).
Home / Away
Richardson
Duchene
Home
60.2% (88)
58.4% (125)
Away
57.0% (151)
48.4% (95)
By Period
Richardson
Duchene
P1
63.8%
56.9%
P2
59.1%
52.5%
P3
50.7%
51.9%
Final 5 min
65.3%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
58.2%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%