Scouting Report
Brad Richardson holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Richardson on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Richardson wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richardson 55.8% vs Thompson 54.3% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richardson 67.8%
Defensive zone
Thompson 53.3%
Neutral zone
Richardson 50.0%
Result
Brad Richardson favored at 67.8%
67.8%
32.2%
Richardson
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Richardson
Thompson
Last 5: Richardson 3-2 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richardson
3
2
Richardson
Thompson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richardson
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
59.7% (221)
55.5% (236)
+4.2%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
60.0% (5)
+40.0%
Penalty Kill
31.3% (16)
56.5% (46)
-25.2%
On power play, Richardson has a +40.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Richardson is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (151).
Richardson shoots left. Thompson is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (199).
Home / Away
Richardson
Thompson
Home
60.2% (88)
53.1% (128)
Away
57.0% (151)
57.9% (159)
By Period
Richardson
Thompson
P1
63.8%
59.0%
P2
59.1%
55.4%
P3
50.7%
52.6%
Final 5 min
65.3%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
58.2%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2021 | 3 | 05:28 | Offensive | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 2 | 18:14 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 2 | 13:33 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 2 | 03:37 | Offensive | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 2 | 03:18 | Offensive | Brad Richardson |