Scouting Report
Brad Richardson holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Petan on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Richardson wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Petan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richardson 53.4% vs Petan 45.7% (+8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Petan 87.2%
Defensive zone
Petan 51.0%
Neutral zone
Petan 66.7%
Result
Nic Petan favored at 58.8%
41.2%
58.8%
Richardson
Petan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Richardson
Petan
Last 6: Richardson 2-4 Petan
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richardson
2
1
Richardson
Petan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Petan
0
3
Richardson
Petan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richardson
Petan
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (5,037)
45.4% (416)
+9.5%
Power Play
56.8% (125)
34.6% (26)
+22.2%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (1,001)
0.0% (1)
+45.9%
On penalty kill, Richardson has a +45.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Petan shoots left. Richardson is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (3,818).
Richardson shoots left. Petan is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (251).
Home / Away
Richardson
Petan
Home
53.6% (3,164)
42.3% (196)
Away
53.3% (3,003)
46.6% (247)
By Period
Richardson
Petan
P1
52.3%
51.9%
P2
54.2%
45.0%
P3
53.5%
35.2%
Final 5 min
55.2%
39.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
53.4%
Petan
34.0%▼
43.0%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2018 | 3 | 05:32 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 2 | 02:35 | Defensive | Nic Petan |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 2 | 02:16 | Neutral | Nic Petan |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 1 | 15:30 | Neutral | Nic Petan |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 1 | 07:56 | Neutral | Nic Petan |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 1 | 01:42 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |