Scouting Report
Brad Richardson holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Richardson wins 59.1% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richardson 55.8% vs Schmaltz 48.4% (+10.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 90.2%
Defensive zone
Schmaltz 60.7%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 76.3%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 90.2%
9.8%
90.2%
Richardson
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Richardson
Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
2
Richardson
Schmaltz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richardson
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
59.7% (221)
42.9% (133)
+16.8%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
55.1% (89)
+44.9%
Penalty Kill
31.3% (16)
47.1% (17)
-15.8%
On power play, Richardson has a +44.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Richardson is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (88).
Richardson shoots left. Schmaltz is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (178).
Home / Away
Richardson
Schmaltz
Home
60.2% (88)
41.6% (125)
Away
57.0% (151)
54.4% (114)
By Period
Richardson
Schmaltz
P1
63.8%
40.0%
P2
59.1%
59.5%
P3
50.7%
45.0%
Final 5 min
65.3%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
58.2%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2022 | 2 | 08:38 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 2 | 13:13 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |