Scouting Report
Brad Richardson holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Richardson wins 59.1% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richardson 55.8% vs Thomas 49.9% (+8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 73.4%
Defensive zone
Richardson 57.9%
Neutral zone
Thomas 56.7%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 60.2%
39.8%
60.2%
Richardson
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Richardson
Thomas
Last 6: Richardson 3-3 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
3
Richardson
Thomas
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richardson
2
0
Richardson
Thomas
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richardson
1
0
Richardson
Thomas
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richardson
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
59.7% (221)
49.0% (910)
+10.7%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
53.5% (142)
+46.5%
Penalty Kill
31.3% (16)
53.3% (75)
-22.0%
On power play, Richardson has a +46.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Richardson is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (88).
Richardson shoots left. Thomas is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Richardson
Thomas
Home
60.2% (88)
47.3% (514)
Away
57.0% (151)
52.0% (613)
By Period
Richardson
Thomas
P1
63.8%
50.4%
P2
59.1%
47.5%
P3
50.7%
51.4%
Final 5 min
65.3%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
58.2%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2022 | 3 | 01:25 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 2 | 11:52 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Mar 28, 2022 | 2 | 16:30 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 28, 2022 | 2 | 13:27 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Mar 28, 2022 | 2 | 09:40 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Mar 28, 2022 | 2 | 09:16 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |