Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Richardson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richardson 53.4% vs O'Reilly 56.2% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Richardson leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 84.0%
Defensive zone
Richardson 61.2%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 61.2%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Richardson
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Richardson
O'Reilly
Last 10: Richardson 7-3 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Richardson
O'Reilly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richardson
5
0
Richardson
O'Reilly
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Richardson
O'Reilly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richardson
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (525)
57.3% (1,073)
-1.9%
Power Play
57.9% (19)
58.5% (258)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (114)
50.7% (225)
-4.2%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Richardson is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Richardson shoots left. O'Reilly is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (962).
Home / Away
Richardson
O'Reilly
Home
56.7% (344)
59.2% (765)
Away
51.0% (314)
54.0% (791)
By Period
Richardson
O'Reilly
P1
48.8%
55.6%
P2
54.1%
61.0%
P3
58.4%
52.3%
OT
100.0%
61.3%
Final 5 min
53.1%
58.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
54.0%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2020 | 2 | 09:40 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 2 | 08:58 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 3 | 19:08 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 3 | 02:49 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 2 | 16:34 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 2 | 12:53 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 12, 2019 | 3 | 01:41 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 12, 2019 | 3 | 01:29 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |