Scouting Report
Brad Richardson holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Richardson wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richardson 55.8% vs O'Reilly 56.4% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 54.8%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 51.2%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 51.6%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Richardson
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Richardson
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Richardson
O'Reilly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Richardson
O'Reilly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richardson
1
0
Richardson
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richardson
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
59.7% (221)
56.6% (1,064)
+3.1%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
60.4% (260)
+39.6%
Penalty Kill
31.3% (16)
54.0% (261)
-22.7%
On power play, Richardson has a +39.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Richardson is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (151).
Richardson shoots left. O'Reilly is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Home / Away
Richardson
O'Reilly
Home
60.2% (88)
54.9% (801)
Away
57.0% (151)
58.7% (784)
By Period
Richardson
O'Reilly
P1
63.8%
58.0%
P2
59.1%
56.7%
P3
50.7%
55.4%
Final 5 min
65.3%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
58.2%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2022 | 3 | 14:26 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 1 | 12:49 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 28, 2022 | 2 | 01:44 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |