Scouting Report
Brad Richardson holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Carrick on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richardson 53.4% vs Carrick 52.1% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carrick 61.7%
Defensive zone
Carrick 66.3%
Neutral zone
Carrick 61.0%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 64.5%
35.5%
64.5%
Richardson
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Richardson
Carrick
Last 5: Richardson 1-4 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
2
Richardson
Carrick
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
1
2
Richardson
Carrick
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richardson
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (5,037)
52.1% (2,502)
+2.8%
Power Play
56.8% (125)
61.3% (75)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (1,001)
50.8% (427)
-4.9%
On penalty kill, Carrick has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Richardson is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,349).
Richardson shoots left. Carrick is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (2,165).
Home / Away
Richardson
Carrick
Home
53.6% (3,164)
51.2% (1,441)
Away
53.3% (3,003)
53.0% (1,563)
By Period
Richardson
Carrick
P1
52.3%
51.6%
P2
54.2%
52.2%
P3
53.5%
52.5%
Final 5 min
55.2%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
53.4%
Carrick
54.0%▼
56.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2021 | 2 | 04:44 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 2 | 02:06 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 2 | 02:01 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 1 | 17:53 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 1 | 04:57 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |